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China's Property Market Faces 2026 Decline Amid Price Drops

12/15/2025

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Story summary
  • New-home prices fell 0.39% in November.
  • Resale values declined 0.66% in November across major cities.
  • Analysts forecast a harsher 2026 for China's property market, with Citigroup forecasting an 11% decline in national sales unless liquidity improves.
  • The government is considering mortgage subsidies and tax rebates to address rising anxiety among officials.
  • Investment in real estate development has plummeted by 30%, raising concerns about elevated bad debt for banks next year.