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Mapping America's Carbon Emissions Amid Regulatory Changes

12/18/2025, 8:53:01 PM

Overview of the Vulcan Project

The Vulcan project, a comprehensive dataset developed over two decades, aims to provide detailed tracking of carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions from fossil fuel combustion across the United States. Recently, researchers published findings from the fourth version of this dataset in the journal *Nature Scientific Data*, highlighting emissions hotspots from 2022. Lead author Kevin Gurney, a professor at Northern Arizona University, emphasized the importance of this data, particularly in light of proposed regulatory changes that threaten existing emissions tracking programs.

Key Findings from the Latest Dataset

The latest Vulcan dataset offers unprecedented resolution in emissions tracking, capturing CO2 emissions down to individual city blocks, road segments, and specific factories or power plants. The data reveals that the highest emissions are concentrated in densely populated areas, particularly along the East Coast and in major cities like Dallas, Texas. This granular mapping is crucial for understanding the North American carbon budget and identifying both carbon sources and sinks.

Regulatory Context and Implications

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (EPA) has proposed ending the Greenhouse Gas Reporting Program (GHGRP), which mandates that facilities emitting over 25,000 metric tons of CO2 equivalent annually report their emissions. This program currently encompasses approximately 13,000 facilities responsible for 85% to 90% of the nation’s greenhouse gas emissions. The EPA argues that this change could save American businesses up to $4 billion in regulatory costs while still fulfilling its obligations under the Clean Air Act.

Criticism and Opposition

The EPA's proposal has sparked opposition from various stakeholders, raising concerns about potential gaps in emissions data tracking. Critics argue that eliminating the GHGRP could lead to significant blind spots in federal emissions monitoring, undermining efforts to combat climate change. Gurney noted that despite funding cuts and threats to federal science data reporting, his team remains committed to producing and sharing vital emissions data.

Future of Emissions Tracking

As the regulatory landscape evolves, the Vulcan project may play a critical role in filling the void left by the potential discontinuation of the GHGRP. Gurney stated, “In spite of the science funding cuts and threats to federal science data reporting, my team will continue to produce and share data critical to climate change and environmental quality.” The ongoing commitment to this research underscores the necessity of accurate emissions tracking in the fight against climate change.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “The U.S. taxpayers have a right to this data,” — Kevin Gurney, Lead Author, Vulcan Project
  • “The output constitutes many terabytes of data and requires a high-performance computing system to run,” — Pawlok Dass, Co-Author, Vulcan Project
  • “In spite of the science funding cuts and threats to federal science data reporting, my team will continue to produce and share data critical to climate change and environmental quality,” — Kevin Gurney, Lead Author, Vulcan Project