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Challenges Facing the Gaza Ceasefire Agreement

12/18/2025, 9:51:31 PM

Overview of the Ceasefire Agreement

More than two months after the ceasefire between Israel and Hamas was established on October 10, 2025, both parties have accused each other of violating the terms of the agreement. The ceasefire is anchored in a 20-point plan proposed by former U.S. President Donald Trump, which outlines steps for disarmament of Hamas, Israeli withdrawal from Gaza, and the establishment of a transitional governing body. While the initial phase focused on the exchange of hostages and a halt to hostilities, the next phase remains contentious and unresolved.

Current Situation in Gaza

Despite the ceasefire, humanitarian conditions in Gaza have deteriorated significantly. The United Nations reports that many families are living in makeshift shelters, with a high number of children suffering from malnutrition exacerbated by severe winter storms. The Rafah border crossing, crucial for aid delivery, remains closed, with only 39% of approved aid trucks reaching their destinations. Reports indicate that Israeli forces have conducted nearly 800 attacks since the ceasefire began, resulting in significant casualties.

Key Issues and Disagreements

The next phase of the ceasefire involves the deployment of an International Stabilization Force (ISF) and the disarmament of Hamas. However, the composition and mandate of this force remain unclear, with countries like Turkey and Indonesia being considered for participation, despite Israeli objections. Hamas has expressed willingness to accept an international force but insists that disarmament should occur only after the establishment of a Palestinian state and the withdrawal of Israeli troops.

Official Statements and Responses

Qatari Prime Minister Sheikh Mohammed bin Abdulrahman bin Jassim Al Thani has emphasized the urgency of moving to the second phase of the ceasefire, warning that ongoing Israeli violations threaten the entire agreement. He stated, “Delays and ceasefire violations endanger the entire process and place mediators in a difficult position.” In contrast, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has defended military actions, claiming they are necessary to prevent Hamas from rearming.

Criticism and Opposition

Critics argue that Israel's continued military operations and restrictions on humanitarian aid violate the ceasefire terms. Hamas leaders have condemned these actions, asserting that they jeopardize the viability of the agreement. Khalil al-Hayya, a senior Hamas official, stated, “The continued Israeli violations threaten the viability of the agreement,” urging international mediators to compel Israel to adhere to the ceasefire.

Conflicting Reports and Gaps

There are conflicting reports regarding the number of ceasefire violations attributed to both sides. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) claim that Hamas has violated the ceasefire multiple times, while Hamas counters that Israeli actions constitute significant breaches. The lack of clarity surrounding the ISF's role and the ongoing humanitarian crisis further complicate the situation.

What's Next?

As the situation evolves, the U.S. is under pressure to facilitate the deployment of the ISF and ensure compliance with the ceasefire terms. The upcoming months are critical, as both sides must navigate the complexities of disarmament, humanitarian aid, and governance in Gaza to prevent a return to full-scale conflict. The international community remains watchful, with hopes for a sustainable resolution to the ongoing crisis.