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Satellite Collision Risk Shrinks to Just 2.8 Days

12/19/2025

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Story summary
  • A recent study warns that, without collision-avoidance measures, a satellite collision could occur in as little as 2.8 days in low Earth orbit (LEO).
  • The "CRASH Clock" shows this risk has shortened dramatically from 121 days in 2018.
  • The space environment is fragile, with over 13,000 active satellites and 43,500 debris pieces in orbit.
  • As launches continue, experts warn risk of collisions will rise and urge improved collision-avoidance strategies.