Story perspectives

Kalshi Joins CNN, CNBC: 2024 Election Predictions Unveiled

12/19/2025

Summary

Story summary

Kalshi partnered with CNN and CNBC to share real-time prediction data on the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Researchers Josh Clinton and TzuFeng Huang analyzed 2,500 political prediction markets and found PredictIt at 93% accuracy, Kalshi at 78%, and Polymarket at 67%.
The study identified pricing inefficiencies and arbitrage opportunities, especially closer to the election.
The study raises concerns about potential manipulation due to media reporting.
The study recommends improving liquidity.

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Story summary

Kalshi partnered with CNN and CNBC to share real-time prediction data on the 2024 U.S. presidential election.
Researchers Josh Clinton and TzuFeng Huang analyzed 2,500 political prediction markets and found PredictIt at 93% accuracy, Kalshi at 78%, and Polymarket at 67%.
The study identified pricing inefficiencies and arbitrage opportunities, especially closer to the election.
The study raises concerns about potential manipulation due to media reporting.
The study recommends improving liquidity.