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Ocasio-Cortez Leads Vance in 2028 Poll; Trump Support Shifts

12/19/2025

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Summary

Story summary

U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) leads Vice President JD Vance 51% to 49% in a hypothetical 2028 matchup.
The poll suggests she regained support among key demographics that backed Trump.
Sixty-four percent of Hispanic voters favor her over Vance.
She trails other Democrats, like Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris, in early nomination polls.
Vance remains a potential successor to Trump, but his popularity is waning.

History

Historical Context

The 2016 U.S. Presidential Election, held on November 8, saw Donald Trump win 304 electoral votes against Hillary Clinton's 227, despite Clinton receiving nearly three million more popular votes. Trump's weak support among Hispanic voters, at only 28%, contrasts with Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez's current lead in that demographic, indicating a potential shift in political alignment as the Democratic Party prepares for the 2028 election.

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Story summary

U.S. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez (D-NY) leads Vice President JD Vance 51% to 49% in a hypothetical 2028 matchup.
The poll suggests she regained support among key demographics that backed Trump.
Sixty-four percent of Hispanic voters favor her over Vance.
She trails other Democrats, like Gavin Newsom and Kamala Harris, in early nomination polls.
Vance remains a potential successor to Trump, but his popularity is waning.

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