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Snowy Christmas? Northern States Lead with 74% Chance!

12/22/2025

50 4 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

Northern regions have the highest probabilities for a white Christmas, with 22% of the Lower 48 states snow-covered as of December 22, 2025.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) data show Minneapolis-St. Paul with a 74% chance and New York City with a 13% chance.
Southern states have lower odds.
Elevation affects snowfall, with the Rockies and Sierra Nevada offering higher odds.

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Story summary

Northern regions have the highest probabilities for a white Christmas, with 22% of the Lower 48 states snow-covered as of December 22, 2025.
The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) data show Minneapolis-St. Paul with a 74% chance and New York City with a 13% chance.
Southern states have lower odds.
Elevation affects snowfall, with the Rockies and Sierra Nevada offering higher odds.