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Germany Faces €87 Billion Trade Deficit with China by 2025

12/23/2025

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Story summary
  • Germany is projected to run an €87 billion trade deficit with China in 2025.
  • German exports to China are seen falling 10% to €81 billion.
  • Chinese exports to Germany are expected to rise 7.2% to €168 billion.
  • The widening gap reflects eroding German competitiveness, especially in autos, with a 3.2% drop forecast.
  • Volkswagen Group's local production strategy for China is cited as a contributing factor.