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Democrats Hold 16-Point Lead Ahead of 2026 Midterms

12/24/2025

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Center

Democrats Surge Ahead

Democrats lead Republicans by 16 points ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, with 54.4% vs 38.4%.
AtlasIntel surveyed 2,315 respondents, finding 98% of Democrats will vote for their party and 11.7% of Republicans may switch.
U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval has declined, with 59.6% disapproving.
Former adviser Karl Rove warns the White House could face midterm defeat due to ongoing mistakes.
The GOP's outlook remains uncertain as the elections approach.

Right

Governors' Elections Shift

Gretchen Whitmer, Michigan Governor, will be term-limited; Jocelyn Benson is a top successor.
Republican lawmakers have raised concerns about Benson's oversight of the 2026 elections.
Wisconsin Governor Tony Evers announced his retirement, opening the 2026 race.
Florida Governor Ron DeSantis is term-limited, with speculation about a successor including Casey DeSantis.
The November 3, 2026 elections include toss-ups in Arizona, Michigan, Wisconsin, while Republicans defend Georgia and Nevada.

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Democrats Surge Ahead

Democrats lead Republicans by 16 points ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, with 54.4% vs 38.4%.
AtlasIntel surveyed 2,315 respondents, finding 98% of Democrats will vote for their party and 11.7% of Republicans may switch.
U.S. President Donald Trump’s approval has declined, with 59.6% disapproving.
Former adviser Karl Rove warns the White House could face midterm defeat due to ongoing mistakes.
The GOP's outlook remains uncertain as the elections approach.

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