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Rising Prices Could Trigger Layoffs, Warns Morgan Stanley

12/25/2025

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Story summary
  • Morgan Stanley warns that consumer resistance to rising prices could trigger layoffs if profitability erodes.
  • Michael T. Gapen, Chief U.S. Economist at Morgan Stanley, says the job market is tough and 2026 layoffs may be avoided if firms raise prices.
  • Tariff pressures have driven price increases through 2025 and Morgan Stanley expects core inflation to reach 3% in early 2026, depending on consumer acceptance.