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Britain to Become Fifth-Largest Economy by 2040

12/27/2025

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Story summary
  • The Centre for Economics and Business Research projects Britain will be the world’s fifth-largest economy by 2040, rising from $4 trillion to $6.8 trillion.
  • This growth follows weaker performance in France and Germany, with Asia gaining relative weight as the United States remains the largest economy.
  • Britain's GDP per capita is expected to drop from 19th to 21st, and Indonesia could enter the top ten by the early 2030s.