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Fed's Rate Cut Chances Spark Market Resilience Debate

12/28/2025

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Summary

Story summary

Ahead of the Federal Reserve's January meeting, futures show a 17.7% chance of a rate cut and an 82.3% chance of no change.
The move reflects ongoing debates about inflation and the labor market.
Despite 4.3% Q3 GDP growth, unemployment at 4.6% signals labor weakness that could prompt a rate cut.
Analysts say U.S. stocks could stay resilient even if rates are held, aided by AI advances and earnings.

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Story summary

Ahead of the Federal Reserve's January meeting, futures show a 17.7% chance of a rate cut and an 82.3% chance of no change.
The move reflects ongoing debates about inflation and the labor market.
Despite 4.3% Q3 GDP growth, unemployment at 4.6% signals labor weakness that could prompt a rate cut.
Analysts say U.S. stocks could stay resilient even if rates are held, aided by AI advances and earnings.