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Estonia's Intel Chief: Russia Cautious, NATO Needs Vigilance

12/29/2025

Center

Rosin Addresses Russia

Kaupo Rosin, Director General of the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service, said Russia has no intention to attack the Baltic states or NATO.
He noted NATO responses to provocations have pushed Moscow toward a more cautious approach.
Rosin warned vigilance is needed even as he said Russia respects NATO.
He criticized the term "hybrid attacks" for downplaying sabotage and cyberattacks, and noted sanctions are beginning to pressure Russia.

Left

Estonia Strengthens Defenses

Estonia is strengthening border defenses after rising Russian provocations, including a 20-minute incursion by Russian border guards.
The incidents reflect a pattern of escalating tensions similar to those seen in Ukraine.
Estonia plans fencing, anti-tank ditches, and bunkers to deter attacks.
Analysts suggest two Russian options: a rapid Narva assault or a hybrid information-war strategy.
Estonia seeks Western support to counter threats and defend sovereignty.

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Rosin Addresses Russia

Kaupo Rosin, Director General of the Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service, said Russia has no intention to attack the Baltic states or NATO.
He noted NATO responses to provocations have pushed Moscow toward a more cautious approach.
Rosin warned vigilance is needed even as he said Russia respects NATO.
He criticized the term "hybrid attacks" for downplaying sabotage and cyberattacks, and noted sanctions are beginning to pressure Russia.

1 / 2