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2025 Expected to See Historic 20% Homicide Drop

12/31/2025

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Summary

Story summary

Crime analyst Jeff Asher projects that 2025 will bring the largest one-year drop in homicides, about 20%, in the United States.
Philadelphia and New York are declining, with Philadelphia on track for its lowest homicide total in over 40 years.
Despite this, a Brown University mass shooting and other incidents raise concerns that crime statistics may not reflect community violence.

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Story summary

Crime analyst Jeff Asher projects that 2025 will bring the largest one-year drop in homicides, about 20%, in the United States.
Philadelphia and New York are declining, with Philadelphia on track for its lowest homicide total in over 40 years.
Despite this, a Brown University mass shooting and other incidents raise concerns that crime statistics may not reflect community violence.