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Myanmar's Military-Backed Party Claims Lead in Controversial Elections

1/3/2026, 5:50:38 AM

Election Overview Amid Civil Conflict

Myanmar's military-backed Union Solidarity and Development Party (USDP) has claimed a commanding lead in the initial phase of the country's first general election since the military coup in February 2021. The election, held on December 28, 2025, is being conducted in three phases due to ongoing armed conflicts, with the next rounds scheduled for January 11 and January 25, 2026. The USDP reported winning 82 out of 102 contested lower house seats, while the military government stated that voter turnout was approximately 52%, significantly lower than the 70% turnout in the previous elections of 2020 and 2015.

Context of the Elections

The elections are taking place under a backdrop of civil war and widespread international condemnation. The military junta, which has faced significant opposition since its takeover, has framed the elections as a pathway to restoring political stability. However, the absence of major opposition parties, including Aung San Suu Kyi's National League for Democracy (NLD), which was dissolved in 2023, has led critics to label the elections as a "sham." The NLD had won a landslide victory in the 2020 elections, which the military subsequently annulled, citing unfounded allegations of fraud.

Voter Participation and Reports of Intimidation

Reports indicate that voter turnout was markedly low, with some polling stations in urban areas like Yangon seeing participation rates as low as 37%. Many voters expressed feelings of coercion, with reports of military personnel pressuring residents to vote. A resident from Mon state recounted being compelled to vote due to threats from soldiers. In contrast, some voters, like Khin Marlar from Mandalay, expressed hope for peace despite the ongoing violence.

Criticism of the Electoral Process

The electoral process has been criticized by various international bodies, including the United Nations and human rights organizations, which argue that the elections lack credibility due to the exclusion of anti-junta parties and the imposition of harsh penalties for criticizing the polls. Analysts have noted that the military's attempt to establish a stable government amid civil unrest is fraught with risks and unlikely to gain broad international recognition.

Official Statements and Responses

Junta spokesperson Zaw Min Tun acknowledged international criticism but maintained that the elections would lead to political stability. He stated, "We believe there will be a better future." In contrast, Tom Andrews, the U.N. special envoy for human rights in Myanmar, rejected the notion that the elections could resolve the country's crisis, calling for their strong condemnation.

Conflicting Reports and Future Implications

As the election process continues, discrepancies in reported results and voter turnout figures persist. The final results of the elections are expected to be announced by late January 2026. Observers warn that the current electoral framework may further entrench military dominance while sidelining democratic voices, exacerbating tensions in a country already grappling with a humanitarian crisis affecting over 3.6 million displaced individuals.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “The junta's election is designed to prolong the military's power of slavery over people,” — Lalita Hanwong, Myanmar Expert
  • “We guarantee it to be a free and fair election,” — Senior Gen. Min Aung Hlaing, Junta Leader
  • “I have to go and vote even though I don’t want to, because soldiers showed up with guns to our village to pressure us yesterday,” — Khin, Mon State Resident
  • “special envoy for human rights in Myanmar, said on Sunday the election was not a pathway out of the country's crisis and must be strongly rejected.” — Tom Andrews, U.N. Special Envoy for Human Rights in Myanmar