Full Breakdown
NFL MVP Race: Drake Maye Surges Ahead of Matthew Stafford
1/5/2026, 6:12:17 AM
Recent Developments in the MVP Race
As the 2025 NFL regular season approaches its conclusion, the competition for the Most Valuable Player (MVP) award has intensified, particularly between New England Patriots quarterback Drake Maye and Los Angeles Rams quarterback Matthew Stafford. Following Week 17, Maye has emerged as the frontrunner after delivering a record-setting performance against the New York Jets, while Stafford's chances diminished significantly due to a lackluster outing against the Atlanta Falcons.
Performance Breakdown
Drake Maye's standout game in Week 17 saw him complete 19 of 21 passes for 256 yards and five touchdowns, achieving a passer rating of 157 and a QBR of 99.8, the highest recorded since the metric's inception in 2006. This performance propelled the Patriots to a 42-10 victory and solidified their position as AFC East champions with a 14-3 record.
Conversely, Matthew Stafford's performance against the Falcons was marked by three interceptions, including a pick-six, in a 27-24 loss. Despite throwing for 269 yards and two touchdowns, Stafford's struggles in this critical game led to a significant shift in MVP odds, with Maye overtaking him as the favorite.
Current MVP Odds
As of now, Maye's odds to win the MVP are -400 at DraftKings, while Stafford's have dropped to +300. This change reflects the impact of their respective performances in Week 17, with Maye's statistical achievements and team success weighing heavily in voters' minds.
Key Statistics
- Drake Maye: 4,203 passing yards, 30 touchdowns, 8 interceptions, 71.7% completion rate, 112.9 passer rating.
- Matthew Stafford: 4,448 passing yards, 42 touchdowns, 8 interceptions, 65.2% completion rate, 108.8 passer rating.
While Stafford leads in total touchdowns, Maye's efficiency and ability to elevate a team that struggled in previous seasons have garnered significant attention.
Arguments for Each Quarterback
Supporters of Maye argue that his performance has been crucial in transforming the Patriots from a four-win team in 2024 to a playoff contender, showcasing his growth in just his second year. Former Patriots player Jason McCourty emphasized Maye's narrative, stating, “Look at the story line surrounding him... a second-year QB, with a new coach, a new offensive coordinator, a team that won only four games each of the last two years.”
On the other hand, Stafford's supporters highlight his superior overall statistics and the challenges posed by a tougher schedule in the NFC West. Critics, however, point to Stafford's recent struggles and the importance of team success in MVP voting, noting that historically, MVPs often come from teams with high playoff seeding.
Official Statements & Responses
Matthew Stafford has downplayed the MVP race, focusing instead on team performance: “I’m just trying to put as good of a season together as I possibly can.” Meanwhile, Maye has expressed humility regarding his candidacy, stating, “It’s really a team deal... obviously, there’s been some great seasons around the league from a lot of players.”
What's Next
Both quarterbacks will have one final opportunity to make their case in Week 18. The Patriots will face the Miami Dolphins, while the Rams will host the Arizona Cardinals. The outcomes of these games could further influence MVP voting, especially if either quarterback delivers a standout performance.
Conclusion
As the NFL MVP race heads into its final week, the competition between Drake Maye and Matthew Stafford remains fierce. With Maye currently holding the edge, the concluding games will be pivotal in determining who ultimately claims the prestigious award.
