Full Breakdown
Labor's Polling Struggles Post-Bondi Attacks
1/5/2026, 10:50:10 AM
Core Event: Labor's Declining Approval Ratings
Following the Bondi attacks in December 2024, the Australian Labor Party, led by Prime Minister Anthony Albanese, has experienced a notable decline in approval ratings, despite maintaining a lead in voter preferences. A special national Resolve poll conducted from December 17 to 20 indicated that Labor holds a 54–46 lead over the Coalition, a slight improvement for the Coalition since early December. However, Albanese's net approval rating plummeted by 15 points to -9, marking the lowest level since the May election.
Background & Context: The Bondi Attacks and Expenses Scandal
The Bondi attacks, which occurred shortly before the polling period, have been linked to a broader narrative of rising tensions and public concern regarding social cohesion in Australia. Concurrently, an expenses scandal involving Labor has compounded the party's challenges, leading to uncertainty about whether the decline in Albanese's approval is attributable to the attacks, the scandal, or both. Poll respondents perceived the government's response to the Bondi incidents as weak, with 46% expressing dissatisfaction.
Key Figures & Groups: Albanese and Coalition Leaders
Anthony Albanese remains the preferred Prime Minister, leading Coalition leader Sussan Ley by 38% to 30%. However, Ley's approval rating has also declined, falling seven points to -4. The poll results reflect a shift in public sentiment, particularly among demographics such as voters aged 50–64, where the Coalition has regained a slight lead.
Data & Statistics: Polling Insights
The Resolve poll revealed that primary votes for Labor decreased to 32%, while the Coalition increased to 28%. One Nation's support surged to 16%, indicating a shift in voter preferences, particularly among those with lower educational attainment. In terms of public priorities, 49% of respondents identified preventing terrorism as a key government focus, followed closely by tackling crime and restricting access to guns.
Criticism & Opposition: Public Sentiment on Government Response
Public opinion reflects a significant demand for stronger laws against hate speech, particularly in the context of rising antisemitism and Islamophobia. A substantial 66% of respondents believe Australia requires more robust legislation to combat hate speech based on religion. Additionally, 76% support tougher immigration screening to identify antisemitic views, indicating a critical stance toward the government's current policies.
Official Statements & Responses: Government's Position
In response to the polling data, Albanese's government has acknowledged the challenges posed by the Bondi attacks and the expenses scandal. The government is under pressure to address public concerns regarding social cohesion and safety, with calls for a Royal Commission into the incidents receiving 48% support from respondents.
What's Next: Future Implications for Labor
As the 2025 election approaches, Labor's declining approval ratings and the Coalition's resurgence in specific demographics may influence campaign strategies. The party must navigate the fallout from both the Bondi attacks and the expenses scandal while addressing public demands for stronger governance and social policies.
Verbatim Quotes
- “By 66–9, respondents thought Australia needs stronger laws to ban hate speech on the basis of religion and faith.” — Poll Respondents
- “By 81–19, respondents thought Ahmed al Ahmed, who disarmed one of the Bondi gunmen, deserved to be made Australian of the Year.” — Poll Respondents
