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Israel's Quantum Computing Ambitions Amid Global Competition

1/6/2026, 1:36:06 AM

The Quantum Race: Israel's Position and Challenges

Since 2018, Israel has been striving to establish itself in the competitive landscape of quantum computing, a field likened to the historical space race. The stakes are high, as advancements in quantum technology could significantly impact military, economic, and scientific domains. While the primary competition is between the United States and China, Israel's position remains uncertain, with concerns about being pushed out of the top ranks in quantum computing. The Israeli Defense Forces (IDF) have raised questions about the potential vulnerability of advanced military technologies, such as the F-35 fighter jet, to quantum advancements.

Strategic Partnerships and Funding Initiatives

Israel has actively sought partnerships to bolster its quantum initiatives, notably receiving over €1.1 billion from the Horizon Europe program between 2021 and 2024. This investment far exceeds U.S. contributions, which totaled $47.5 million across various technology sectors, including quantum computing. Hadas Lorber, head of the U.S.-Israeli relations program at the Institute for National Security Studies (INSS), has been pivotal in fostering these relationships. Under her leadership, the Israel National Quantum Initiative was launched with a budget increase from NIS 1.25 billion in 2018 to NIS 1.7 billion by 2022, reflecting a commitment to advancing quantum research.

Growing the Quantum Ecosystem

The INSS has initiated efforts to create a robust quantum ecosystem in collaboration with U.S. agencies, including the Department of Energy and the Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency (DARPA). Lorber emphasizes the need for Israel to transition from being a "start-up" nation to a "growth" nation, focusing on long-term technological partnerships. The goal is to maintain a pool of quantum talent within Israel while sharing knowledge with international partners.

Regional Cooperation and Limitations

Israel's quantum ambitions also extend to regional partnerships, particularly with countries like Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, and the United Arab Emirates (UAE). However, normalization processes with Saudi Arabia have stalled, complicating potential collaborations. The urgency for Israel to act is heightened by its exclusion from a 2025 AI research pact involving the U.S., Saudi Arabia, and the UAE, raising fears of being sidelined in the global quantum race.

The Future of Quantum Computing

Despite significant investments and advancements, the timeline for achieving true quantum supremacy remains uncertain. While early-stage quantum computers have demonstrated capabilities, their practical applications are still limited. Israeli defense sources suggest that while advancements in quantum sensors and communications are notable, a fully functional universal quantum computer may take an additional eight to ten years to develop.

As Israel navigates this complex landscape, it continues to focus on post-quantum encryption (PQE) to safeguard its digital infrastructure against potential quantum threats. The transition to PQE is expected to be significant by 2030, with a complete shift projected by 2035, as outlined by the U.S. National Institute of Standards and Technology.

Conclusion

Israel's quest for leadership in quantum computing is marked by strategic partnerships, significant funding, and a commitment to innovation. However, the challenges posed by global competition and regional dynamics underscore the need for a proactive approach to secure its position in this critical technological frontier.