Full Breakdown
Netanyahu's Continued Dominance in Likud Amid Legal Challenges
1/7/2026, 1:19:50 PM
Internal Party Dynamics and Leadership Polls
A recent internal poll conducted by Dr. Nimrod Nir of the Agam Institute reveals that Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu retains significant support within the Likud party, with 80.4% of respondents identifying him as the best candidate to lead in the next national election. This survey, conducted among 1,223 verified active Likud members from January 1 to 3, 2026, indicates that there is no substantial internal challenge to Netanyahu's leadership. In a hypothetical scenario where Netanyahu does not run, Defense Minister Israel Katz emerges as the leading candidate, though support is more evenly distributed among several senior figures, including Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana and Economy Minister Nir Barkat.
The poll also highlights that 75% of Likud members favor efforts to secure a pardon for Netanyahu regarding his ongoing legal troubles, with 77.8% supporting a full and immediate pardon without conditions. This reflects a party still firmly anchored around Netanyahu, with no clear successor poised to take over in a post-Netanyahu era.
Legal Proceedings and Allegations
Netanyahu's legal challenges are primarily centered around Case 4000, which involves allegations of bribery linked to his relationship with Shaul Elovitch, the controlling shareholder of Bezeq. Prosecutors argue that Netanyahu granted regulatory benefits to Bezeq in exchange for favorable media coverage on the Walla news site, which Elovitch owned. During his testimony, Netanyahu has consistently denied any wrongdoing, asserting that his regulatory decisions were made on professional grounds and that interactions with the media were standard political conduct.
The prosecution is currently cross-examining Netanyahu, focusing on inconsistencies in his account regarding the involvement of former aide Nir Hefetz in media strategy. Hefetz has testified that there was significant coordination within Netanyahu's household concerning media matters, a claim that Netanyahu disputes, stating he cannot recall such meetings and denying any structured involvement of his family.
Boycott of Channel 12
In a related political maneuver, several Likud ministers have initiated a boycott of Channel 12, prompted by the channel's reporting on alleged abuses of a Palestinian detainee by IDF reservists. Communications Minister Shlomo Karhi has called for all Likud officials to join the boycott until Channel 12 issues a public apology. The ministers accuse the channel of spreading a "false narrative" that harms IDF soldiers. This boycott has been supported by right-wing media outlets, amplifying the call for action against Channel 12.
Rising Stars and Future Elections
As the Likud prepares for the upcoming elections in October 2026, the party's internal dynamics are shifting. A recent poll indicates that Tally Gotliv, a rising star within the party, would lead in a non-leadership primary to choose the party’s electoral list. Netanyahu has expressed concerns about Gotliv's growing influence, fearing it could cost the party seats in the Knesset.
Netanyahu is also reportedly seeking to reserve at least five slots on the Likud electoral slate for candidates he supports, aiming to maintain control while diversifying the party's appeal. This strategy underscores his intent to navigate the party through the upcoming electoral landscape while addressing security concerns in Israel.
Conclusion
Netanyahu's grip on the Likud party remains strong despite ongoing legal challenges and internal competition. As the party prepares for future elections, the dynamics within Likud will be crucial in shaping its direction and leadership in the coming years.
