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China Faces Dire Consequences in Potential Taiwan Conflict

1/7/2026

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Story summary
  • The German Marshall Fund report highlights potential consequences for China in a Taiwan conflict.
  • It argues that analysts focus on the weaknesses of the United States and overlook the repercussions China could face if military action fails.
  • The report warns of significant military casualties, economic disruption, and political instability for the Chinese Communist Party.
  • It states a failed operation could bring national humiliation and urges reevaluation of conflict risks.