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Trump Enters Prediction Markets Amid Legal Concerns

1/8/2026

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Story summary
  • U.S. President Donald Trump plans to enter prediction markets via Truth Social as sports gambling and cryptocurrency grow.
  • A trader bet $34,000 on Nicolás Maduro's ouster on Polymarket, turning it into $400,000 before his capture.
  • Legal experts raise insider trading concerns because the trader used Polymarket's offshore platform limiting U.S. users.
  • Massachusetts and New Jersey push for regulation as questions arise about whether prediction markets are assets or gambling.