Predictions for MMA in 2026: Key Fighters and Titles at a Crossroads

Jon Jones, the former UFC light heavyweight champion, is expected by many to return to the Octagon in 2026, following his announcement in July that he would end his brief retirement. However, skepticism surrounds this expectation. At 38 years old, Jones has fought only twice in the past six years and opted not to compete in 2025. UFC CEO Dana White has expressed doubts about Jones headlining a potential card at the White House, stating the odds are a "billion-to-1." Jones' history of legal issues and substance violations further complicates predictions about his return.

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In contrast, Conor McGregor is predicted to fight twice in 2026, with a potential matchup against Michael Chandler in June. The upcoming White House event is seen as a significant motivator for McGregor, who remains a prominent figure in MMA. If McGregor performs well against Chandler, it is likely that the UFC will offer him additional fights, possibly even a title shot later in the year. This scenario, while ambitious given McGregor's inactivity over the past four and a half years, is considered plausible by some analysts.

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The landscape of UFC champions may shift significantly in 2026, with multiple fighters potentially retiring. Recent trends show an increase in champions retiring while still holding titles, as seen with Amanda Nunes and Khabib Nurmagomedov. Current champions like Alex Pereira, Khamzat Chimaev, and Alexander Volkanovski are all nearing the end of their careers, raising questions about their futures in the sport. Justin Gaethje has also indicated a desire to retire after pursuing an undisputed title.

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The BMF (Baddest Motherf***er) title, introduced as a marketing tool, is expected to be retired in 2026. The title has seen notable fighters like Nate Diaz and Jorge Masvidal compete for it, but its significance appears to be waning. The upcoming fight between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira at UFC 326 may mark the final chapter for the BMF title, as the UFC considers its diminishing impact.

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Usman Nurmagomedov, the PFL lightweight champion and cousin of Khabib Nurmagomedov, is likely to re-sign with the PFL after his upcoming fight on February 7 against Alfie Davis. The PFL has a vested interest in retaining Nurmagomedov, especially given the promotion's recent partnership with the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism. While fans may hope to see him in the UFC, the current competitive landscape in the lightweight division may limit his opportunities.

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As 2026 approaches, the MMA landscape is poised for significant changes, with potential retirements, anticipated comebacks, and the fate of titles hanging in the balance. The outcomes of these developments will shape the future of the sport and its key figures.

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