Predictions for MMA in 2026: Key Fighters and Potential Retirements

Jon Jones, a prominent figure in mixed martial arts, has sparked speculation regarding his potential return to the Octagon in 2026. Despite a July announcement indicating his intention to end a brief retirement and possibly fight Alex Pereira, skepticism remains about his actual participation. At 38 years old, Jones has fought only twice in the past six years and declined a lucrative bout against Tom Aspinall, leading to doubts about his reliability and readiness to compete again. UFC CEO Dana White has expressed that the chances of Jones headlining a card at the White House are "a billion-to-1," further complicating expectations for his return.

ESPNRoy Jones Jr delivers warning to Usyk on facing Deontay Wilder next

In contrast, Conor McGregor is expected to fight twice in 2026, with a potential matchup against Michael Chandler in June. This prediction hinges on the upcoming White House event, which could motivate McGregor to regain discipline and capitalize on his status as the biggest star in MMA. If McGregor performs well against Chandler, he may receive additional fight opportunities later in the year, possibly even for a title bout in November at Madison Square Garden.

ESPN

The landscape of MMA may see multiple champions retire in 2026, following a trend of fighters exiting while on top. Notable champions like Amanda Nunes and Khabib Nurmagomedov have already set precedents. Current champions such as Alex Pereira, Khamzat Chimaev, and Alexander Volkanovski are also nearing the end of their careers, with Volkanovski potentially retiring if he achieves his legacy goals. Justin Gaethje has indicated a desire to retire after winning an undisputed title, while Kamaru Usman's future remains uncertain as he seeks another title shot.

ESPN

The BMF (Baddest Motherf***er) title, introduced in 2019, is also expected to retire in 2026. The upcoming fight between Max Holloway and Charles Oliveira at UFC 326 may mark the final chapter for this belt, which has lost some of its initial impact. The UFC is anticipated to announce the end of the BMF title, concluding its run as a marketing tool that has featured notable fighters like Nate Diaz and Jorge Masvidal.

ESPN

Usman Nurmagomedov, the undefeated PFL lightweight champion and cousin of Khabib Nurmagomedov, is expected to re-sign with the Professional Fighters League (PFL) after his upcoming fight on February 7 against Alfie Davis. The PFL has a vested interest in retaining Nurmagomedov, especially given the promotion's recent multiyear deal with the Dubai Department of Economy and Tourism. His continued presence in the PFL is seen as beneficial for the health of MMA, promoting competition across different organizations.

ESPN

As 2026 approaches, the MMA landscape is poised for significant changes, with potential retirements of key figures, anticipated comebacks, and the conclusion of the BMF title. The evolving dynamics within the sport will shape its future, impacting fighters, promotions, and fans alike.

ESPN