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AI Could Replace 10.4 Million U.S. Jobs by 2030

1/14/2026

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Story summary
  • Forrester Research, a market research firm, says Agentic AI could eliminate 6.1% of U.S. jobs by 2030, 10.4 million positions.
  • The impact is modest, with AI augmenting about one in five roles rather than replacing them.
  • Forrester warns against over-automation, noting it could cause costly mistakes and employee dissatisfaction.
  • Salesforce and Duolingo are reevaluating their AI strategies, while one million layoffs are projected in 2025, largely for financial reasons.