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Full Breakdown

Huawei and Apple Battle for Dominance in the Smartphone Market

1/14/2026, 11:01:43 PM

Huawei Reclaims Top Spot in China

In 2025, Huawei Technologies regained its position as the leading smartphone vendor in mainland China, surpassing Apple with 46.7 million units shipped, capturing a 16.4% market share. This marked Huawei's first full-year lead since 2020, following significant challenges posed by U.S. sanctions that restricted its access to advanced chips. Despite a 1.9% decline in shipments from the previous year, Huawei's development of in-house processors, particularly the Kirin 9030 used in its Mate 80 Pro Max, played a crucial role in its resurgence. Apple closely followed, shipping 46.2 million iPhones for a 16.2% market share, reflecting a 4% growth year-on-year. The competitive landscape in China has shifted, with domestic brands like Vivo and Xiaomi facing challenges due to rising production costs and market saturation.

Global Smartphone Market Overview

Globally, Apple emerged as the leader in the smartphone market in 2025, achieving a 20% share and a 10% year-on-year growth in shipments, the highest among the top five brands. This growth was driven by strong demand for the iPhone 17 series and an expanding presence in emerging and mid-sized markets. Samsung ranked second with a 19% market share, while Xiaomi maintained third place with a 13% share. The overall global smartphone market saw a modest 2% increase in shipments, buoyed by improved economic conditions in emerging markets and a shift towards premium devices.

Market Dynamics and Challenges

The smartphone market in China experienced a slight contraction, with total shipments declining by 0.6% to approximately 285 million units. Analysts attribute this decline to rising memory costs and the depletion of government subsidy funds, which limited manufacturers' ability to stock low-end models. Will Wong, a senior research manager at IDC, noted that the competitive landscape has evolved, with some domestic players focusing on international markets to avoid direct competition with Huawei.

Looking ahead, both IDC and Counterpoint Research predict a challenging environment for the smartphone industry in 2026. Factors such as chip shortages, rising component costs, and a shift in chipmaker priorities towards AI data centers are expected to exert pressure on production and profitability. Analysts anticipate that while high-end brands like Apple and Huawei may benefit from premium margins, lower-priced segments could face significant challenges.

Official Statements & Responses

Will Wong from IDC emphasized the importance of Huawei's in-house chip production in its market recovery, stating, “The continuous improvement in Huawei’s in-house chip production was a key driver in 2025.” Meanwhile, Varun Mishra from Counterpoint highlighted Apple’s success, attributing it to “strong demand across emerging and mid-sized markets, supported by a stronger product mix.”

Criticism & Opposition

Despite Huawei's resurgence, some analysts express skepticism about the sustainability of its growth, given the ongoing challenges from U.S. sanctions and the competitive pressures from other domestic brands. Additionally, concerns about rising production costs and market saturation could hinder future performance.

What's Next

As the smartphone market braces for potential declines in 2026, manufacturers are expected to adapt by focusing on premium offerings and exploring new markets. The ongoing evolution of consumer preferences towards higher-end devices will likely shape the strategies of both Huawei and Apple in the coming year.