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Lula Leads 2026 Polls as Bolsonaro Continues Campaign

1/15/2026

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Summary

Story summary

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads a 2026 election poll with 36% in a first round, ahead of Senator Flavio Bolsonaro at 23% and Sao Paulo Governor Tarcisio de Freitas at 9%.
In a hypothetical runoff, Lula da Silva leads Flavio Bolsonaro 45% to 38% and leads de Freitas 44% to 39%.
Since December, da Silva's lead has narrowed.
Flavio Bolsonaro plans to continue his campaign.

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Story summary

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva leads a 2026 election poll with 36% in a first round, ahead of Senator Flavio Bolsonaro at 23% and Sao Paulo Governor Tarcisio de Freitas at 9%.
In a hypothetical runoff, Lula da Silva leads Flavio Bolsonaro 45% to 38% and leads de Freitas 44% to 39%.
Since December, da Silva's lead has narrowed.
Flavio Bolsonaro plans to continue his campaign.