Story perspectives

Talarico Leads Crockett in Texas Senate Primary Polls

1/16/2026

Summary

Story summary

State Rep. James Talarico leads Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett by 9 points in the Texas Democratic Senate primary, with 47% support compared to Crockett's 38%, according to a recent Emerson College poll.
Talarico's support is notably strong among Hispanic (59%) and white (57%) voters, while Crockett receives 80% backing from Black voters.
On the Republican side, Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Sen. John Cornyn are closely matched, with Paxton at 27% and Cornyn at 26%.
Both parties face challenges, as hypothetical matchups indicate Republicans are likely to retain the Senate seat.

History

Historical Context

The 2022 Texas Senate primary highlighted evolving voter demographics, reflecting the legacy of the 1965 Voting Rights Act, which enhanced minority political engagement. Notably, 59% of Hispanic voters supported Democrat James Talarico, while 80% of Black voters backed his opponent, reflecting ongoing racial voting patterns. These trends indicate that both parties must adapt to a diversifying electorate to remain competitive in future elections.

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Story summary

State Rep. James Talarico leads Congresswoman Jasmine Crockett by 9 points in the Texas Democratic Senate primary, with 47% support compared to Crockett's 38%, according to a recent Emerson College poll.
Talarico's support is notably strong among Hispanic (59%) and white (57%) voters, while Crockett receives 80% backing from Black voters.
On the Republican side, Attorney General Ken Paxton and incumbent Sen. John Cornyn are closely matched, with Paxton at 27% and Cornyn at 26%.
Both parties face challenges, as hypothetical matchups indicate Republicans are likely to retain the Senate seat.

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