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China's Fertility Rate Plummets, Experts Doubt Tax Impact

1/16/2026

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Story summary
  • China's fertility rate has fallen to 1.0 child per woman, prompting a 13% tax on contraceptives and child-care subsidies.
  • Experts say the measures will have little impact, as modernization and rising living costs prompt couples to delay or forgo children.
  • Similar measures in Singapore and South Korea have failed to reverse low fertility despite incentives.
  • China's past one-child policy and current social changes contribute to birth-rate decline.