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China's Economy Set for 4.5% Growth Amidst Challenges

1/17/2026

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Summary

Story summary

Reuters poll projects China's economy to grow 4.5% in 2026 and to maintain that pace in 2027.
In 2025, growth reached 4.9%, largely meeting the government target due to strong exports and modest policy support.
Weak domestic consumption and a prolonged property slump create vulnerabilities for the economy.
Beijing aims to lift household consumption above 40%, but rising debt and external pressures, including U.S. trade policies, challenge the plan.

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Story summary

Reuters poll projects China's economy to grow 4.5% in 2026 and to maintain that pace in 2027.
In 2025, growth reached 4.9%, largely meeting the government target due to strong exports and modest policy support.
Weak domestic consumption and a prolonged property slump create vulnerabilities for the economy.
Beijing aims to lift household consumption above 40%, but rising debt and external pressures, including U.S. trade policies, challenge the plan.