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Full Breakdown

Decline in Irregular Border Crossings into the EU in 2025

1/18/2026, 8:33:32 PM

Overview of the Decline in Irregular Crossings

The European Union's border agency, Frontex, reported a significant decrease in irregular border crossings into the EU, with just under 178,000 entries recorded in 2025. This figure represents a 25% decline compared to previous years and is the lowest annual total since 2021. Frontex attributes this reduction to enhanced cooperation with EU member states and third-country partners.

Detailed Breakdown of Migration Routes

Frontex's data reveals sharp declines across various migration routes. The Western Balkans corridor experienced a 42% drop, while irregular movements along the EU's eastern land border with Belarus fell by 37%. The West African route saw the steepest decline at 63%, linked to reduced departures from countries such as Mauritania, Morocco, and Senegal. Conversely, the Central Mediterranean route remained the most active, accounting for nearly one-third of all detections, with crossings from eastern Libya to Crete more than tripling compared to 2024.

Official Statements on the Trends

Frontex Executive Director Hans Leijtens described the decline in irregular crossings as "a significant development," while also urging continued vigilance. He emphasized that while the trend is positive, migratory pressures remain unpredictable, necessitating ongoing cooperation with national authorities and partners outside the EU.

Criticism and Opposition to Frontex's Role

Despite the reported decline in irregular crossings, migration advocates express concerns regarding the implications of these statistics. Human rights organizations have criticized Frontex for its involvement in border enforcement operations that have been associated with unlawful returns of migrants, known as pushbacks, and other rights violations. The Abolish Frontex campaign, which includes several NGOs, argues that the rise of far-right politics in Europe has bolstered support for Frontex, potentially undermining the rights of migrants.

What's Next for EU Migration Policy

The year 2025 is poised to be pivotal for European border management, with the EU Pact on Migration and Asylum set to become fully applicable in June. This reform represents the most significant overhaul of Europe’s migration and asylum system in years. Additionally, new digital border systems, including the Entry/Exit System (EES) and the European Travel Information and Authorization System (ETIAS), are planned for rollout later in the year. Frontex anticipates that, barring major geopolitical escalations, irregular migration towards Europe may continue to decline.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “The trend is moving in the right direction, but risks do not disappear,” — Hans Leijtens, Executive Director of Frontex
  • “Staying prepared is about practical choices. It means officers on duty, assets ready, and close cooperation with national authorities and partners beyond the EU,” — Hans Leijtens, Executive Director of Frontex

This comprehensive overview highlights the significant decline in irregular border crossings into the EU in 2025, while also addressing the complexities and criticisms surrounding Frontex's operations and the broader implications for migration policy in Europe.