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Trader Aims for $100K by Analyzing Trump's Turkey Pardon

1/22/2026

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Summary

Story summary

Joel Holsinger, a 26-year-old former corporate CPA, is on track to earn his first $100,000 trading prediction markets after placing more than $700 on whether U.S. President Donald Trump would use specific phrases in his annual turkey pardon.
He analyzed past speeches to inform his bets, focusing on words such as "stuffing" and "cheaper."
Holsinger's cautious approach reflects the limited sample size of past Thanksgivings.

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Story summary

Joel Holsinger, a 26-year-old former corporate CPA, is on track to earn his first $100,000 trading prediction markets after placing more than $700 on whether U.S. President Donald Trump would use specific phrases in his annual turkey pardon.
He analyzed past speeches to inform his bets, focusing on words such as "stuffing" and "cheaper."
Holsinger's cautious approach reflects the limited sample size of past Thanksgivings.