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Story perspectives

Trump's Tax Law Threatens Social Security by 2033

1/25/2026

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Story summary
  • U.S. President Donald Trump’s tax and spending law worsened Social Security, with Old-Age and Survivors Insurance (OASI) projected to run out by 2033.
  • The law offers tax breaks that raise costs by $168.6 billion and hasten depletion.
  • A 23% benefit cut is necessary to sustain payouts after depletion.
  • Demographic shifts, low birth rates and reduced immigration, strain Social Security.
  • Social Security is not bankrupt and could cover 77% of benefits.