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Republican Gains Projected in 2030 Census Reapportionment

1/29/2026

Summary

Story summary

Census projections indicate a shift toward Republicans for the 2030 reapportionment, with Texas projected to gain four House seats and Florida two.
California and New York are projected to lose a combined eight seats.
Analysts say the shift could hinder Democrats' chances in future elections.
Republican strategist David Kochel says Democrats must broaden their coalition to stay competitive.
Democratic strategist Andrew Mamo says the party must expand its appeal.

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Story summary

Census projections indicate a shift toward Republicans for the 2030 reapportionment, with Texas projected to gain four House seats and Florida two.
California and New York are projected to lose a combined eight seats.
Analysts say the shift could hinder Democrats' chances in future elections.
Republican strategist David Kochel says Democrats must broaden their coalition to stay competitive.
Democratic strategist Andrew Mamo says the party must expand its appeal.