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Met Office Expands Forecast to Two Weeks, Embraces Uncertainty

1/30/2026

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Story summary
  • The Met Office plans to launch a two-week weather forecast, extending its current seven-day forecast, using a probabilistic forecasting approach.
  • The change aims to improve public decision-making by communicating uncertainty.
  • Ken Mylne, Met Office science fellow, says expressing uncertainty could enhance decision-making.
  • Google DeepMind reported in December 2024 that its AI weather program outperformed the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) by up to 20%.