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Story perspectives

San Jose Mayor's Odds Surge in Governor's Race

1/31/2026

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Story summary
  • San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan's California governor's race odds rose to 36% after his surprise announcement, trailing Rep. Eric Swalwell at 45%.
  • He positions himself as focused on homelessness and affordability while criticizing Governor Gavin Newsom.
  • Former frontrunner Katie Porter’s odds have dropped to 9% after a controversial video.
  • With about one-third undecided, the field remains fragmented, and Mahan aims to attract independents and moderate Democrats.