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Polls Show Poilievre Losing to Carney; Party Divided

1/31/2026

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Story summary
  • Recent polling shows Pierre Poilievre (Conservative leader) would lose to Mark Carney if an election were held today, with Carney projected to win 50 more seats.
  • Seventy-eight percent of Conservative voters want Poilievre to stay, while Liberal and New Democrat voters want him to depart.
  • The Calgary convention signals a disconnect, suggesting the party may not recognize the need for change.