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Story summary
- Democrats are gaining momentum in the 2026 Senate races, aided by strong special-election results, with the midterms set for November 3, 2026.
- Kalshi shows increased chances for Democrats in Michigan, New Hampshire, North Carolina, and Texas.
- Democrat Taylor Rehmet flipped a Texas state Senate district previously won by Trump.
- Analysts caution against overestimating momentum because Republicans still hold an overall Senate advantage.
