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Trader Bets Big on Trump's Turkey Pardon Phrases

2/3/2026

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Story summary
  • Joel Holsinger, a 26-year-old former corporate CPA, was on track to earn his first $100,000 trading in prediction markets.
  • On the Tuesday before Thanksgiving, he had more than $700 in bets on whether U.S. President Donald Trump would use specific words during the annual turkey pardon.
  • Holsinger placed bets on the phrases "stuffing" and "cheaper" after analyzing past speeches.
  • Kalshi odds indicated a growing belief that Trump would say "stuffing".