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Storm Leonardo Threatens Portugal and Spain Amidst Recent Devastation

2/4/2026, 12:59:21 PM

Overview of Storm Leonardo's Impact

Storm Leonardo is poised to affect mainland Portugal from Tuesday afternoon through Saturday, with neighboring Spain expected to experience its effects starting Wednesday. The Portuguese Institute of the Sea and the Atmosphere (IPMA) has warned of heavy rainfall and wind gusts reaching up to 75 km/h (47 mph) along the coast and 95 km/h in higher elevations. This storm follows Storm Kristin, which struck central Portugal last week, resulting in at least six fatalities and extensive damage to infrastructure, homes, and businesses.

Recent Storms and Their Consequences

The region has been battered by a series of storms, including Ingrid, Joseph, and Kristin, since January 22. These storms have led to significant flooding, particularly in Leiria, Coimbra, and Santarém, with hundreds of homes, roads, schools, and factories affected. In Leiria, damage was reported at the Monte Real air base, where several aircraft, including F16 fighter jets, were impacted. The cumulative rainfall from these storms has made southern Spain experience its wettest winter in four decades, with weather authorities warning of severe flood risks due to rising river levels.

Government Response and Recovery Efforts

In response to the devastation caused by Storm Kristin, the Portuguese government approved a €2.5 billion ($2.95 billion) package aimed at aiding recovery efforts for individuals and businesses. Environment and Energy Minister Maria da Graca Carvalho indicated that the government may seek additional funding from the European Solidarity Fund and unused EU recovery funds to support reconstruction initiatives.

Climate Change and Future Preparedness

Pedro Matos Soares, a climate expert, noted that while sequences of storms like those currently affecting Portugal are rare, climate change is expected to increase the intensity of such events. He emphasized that Portugal's transitional climate makes it particularly sensitive to variability, with projections indicating more extreme precipitation patterns in the future. Soares advocates for a radical adaptation of infrastructure to withstand the impacts of climate change, including stricter building regulations and improved civil protection systems.

Criticism of Current Preparedness Measures

Soares criticized the existing civil protection alert system, which he believes fails to provide adequate guidance during emergencies. He called for the development of local rapid-response plans and better communication strategies that inform citizens about necessary actions during severe weather events. Furthermore, he highlighted the need for comprehensive climate-risk mapping to facilitate informed decision-making regarding investments in flood-prone areas.

Verbatim Quotes

  • “Instead of paralysing ourselves with fear, we need to do something more intelligent,” — Pedro Matos Soares, Climate Expert
  • “No major change is projected in the number of storms that hit us,” — Pedro Matos Soares, Climate Expert

Conclusion

As Storm Leonardo approaches, Portugal and Spain are bracing for further challenges in the wake of recent storms. The ongoing situation underscores the urgent need for enhanced preparedness and adaptation strategies to mitigate the impacts of increasingly severe weather events attributed to climate change.