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Russia's Public Deficit Could Hit 4.4% by 2026

2/4/2026

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Story summary
  • The public deficit may reach 3.5% to 4.4% of GDP by end-2026.
  • The rise mirrors lower oil revenues from reduced Indian purchases and large discounts on Russian oil.
  • A government-linked think tank estimates energy revenues will drop 18% and total revenues 6%.
  • Analysts warn that 4.1 trillion roubles in reserves could deplete within a year.
  • Deputy Prime Minister Alexander Novak urged maintaining a balanced budget to withstand sanctions.