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Beijing Raises Telecom VAT Amid Fiscal Revenue Decline

2/4/2026

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Story summary
  • Beijing reclassified certain telecom services from a 6% to a 9% value-added tax rate, reflecting their role as essential digital infrastructure.
  • The move follows a significant drop in fiscal revenue in late 2025.
  • Economists, including Robin Xing of Morgan Stanley, say the changes aim to correct category inconsistencies rather than signal a broader tax increase.
  • They warn that widespread tax hikes could curb consumption and investment, potentially worsening deflationary pressures.