Story perspectives

Experts Warn: Russia Could Invade Lithuania Within Days

2/6/2026

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Summary

Story summary

A wargame by former NATO and German officials concluded Moscow could achieve its objectives within days in a Russian invasion of Lithuania.
The scenario shows Russia using a fabricated humanitarian crisis in Kaliningrad to justify attacking Marijampole.
It highlights a lack of decisive U.S. leadership and hesitance from NATO allies, notably Germany, in responding.
Experts warn of Russia's growing troop movements along NATO borders and incursion risk.

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Story summary

A wargame by former NATO and German officials concluded Moscow could achieve its objectives within days in a Russian invasion of Lithuania.
The scenario shows Russia using a fabricated humanitarian crisis in Kaliningrad to justify attacking Marijampole.
It highlights a lack of decisive U.S. leadership and hesitance from NATO allies, notably Germany, in responding.
Experts warn of Russia's growing troop movements along NATO borders and incursion risk.