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Talarico Leads Texas Primary Poll, Crockett Strong with Black Voters

2/8/2026

Center

Talarico Leads Primary

The Republican internal poll shows James Talarico (Democratic candidate) leading Jasmine Crockett (Democratic candidate) 47% to 38% in the Texas Democratic primary among likely voters.
Crockett has stronger support among Black voters, while Talarico appeals more to Hispanic and white voters.
The poll projects Talarico has a 75% chance to win the Democratic primary, and Attorney General Ken Paxton (R-TX) narrowly leads Crockett in a hypothetical GOP matchup.

Right

Crockett Seeks Bipartisan Support

Rep. Jasmine Crockett (D-Texas) said on MS NOW that some Republicans could back her in the U.S. Senate general election, arguing GOP voters want authenticity over a "Republican lite" candidate.
She acknowledged she may not be their ideal choice but can work across party lines.
Progressives criticize her candidacy, saying her style could hurt elections.
Michelle Goldberg (liberal columnist) wrote that Crockett has support, but her approach could alienate voters.

Left

Cornyn Faces Primary Challenge

U.S. Senator John Cornyn (R-TX) faces a three-way Republican primary in Texas, with polls showing him at 22% while Wesley Hunt (Republican candidate) and Ken Paxton (Republican candidate) are at 25%.
Despite backing from Republican leadership, Cornyn's electability in the general election is in question.
If Ken Paxton wins the primary, Democrats Jasmine Crockett and James Talarico could capitalize and potentially flip the seat in a traditionally Republican stronghold.

History

Historical Context

The Voting Rights Act of 1965 aimed to eradicate racial discrimination in voting, significantly altering electoral dynamics in Texas. Following the Act, minority representation increased, exemplified by candidates like Jasmine Crockett and James Talarico. The 2022 elections highlighted ongoing racial divides, with demographic shifts revealing the potential for a Democratic shift in a historically Republican state, underscoring the Act's enduring impact.

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Talarico Leads Primary

The Republican internal poll shows James Talarico (Democratic candidate) leading Jasmine Crockett (Democratic candidate) 47% to 38% in the Texas Democratic primary among likely voters.
Crockett has stronger support among Black voters, while Talarico appeals more to Hispanic and white voters.
The poll projects Talarico has a 75% chance to win the Democratic primary, and Attorney General Ken Paxton (R-TX) narrowly leads Crockett in a hypothetical GOP matchup.

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