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Russia's Military Build-Up: No NATO Attacks Expected Yet

2/11/2026

Center

Estonia Warns NATO

Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service warns Russia will not attack NATO states in the next two years, even as it rapidly rebuilds its military amid European rearmament.
The report states Russia plans to stockpile ammunition for future conflicts while continuing operations in Ukraine.
It notes cooperation with China could bolster both nations' military capabilities, potentially threatening Western interests.

Right

Estonia Reports Russian Losses

Estonia's foreign intelligence service says Russia's military has suffered 1 million killed or wounded in Ukraine.
The assessment notes Russia is rebuilding through mass mobilization and artillery production.
It cites corruption and convict recruitment as concerns within the armed forces.
The report questions Russia's effectiveness, but warns it remains a threat due to attrition and firepower.
Prolonged war could trigger social instability at home as economic conditions worsen.

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Estonia Warns NATO

Estonian Foreign Intelligence Service warns Russia will not attack NATO states in the next two years, even as it rapidly rebuilds its military amid European rearmament.
The report states Russia plans to stockpile ammunition for future conflicts while continuing operations in Ukraine.
It notes cooperation with China could bolster both nations' military capabilities, potentially threatening Western interests.

1 / 2