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U.S. Population Decline Could Cost Economy $104 Billion

2/12/2026

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Story summary
  • IMPLAN Group, LLC projects that slowing U.S. population growth could trim the economy by about $104 billion.
  • The number of new residents fell to 1.8 million in 2025 from 3.2 million in 2024, creating a growth gap of 1.4 million.
  • The decline could depress household spending and curb job creation, especially in housing and healthcare.
  • IMPLAN indicates slower population growth could ease housing prices and improve homeownership prospects.