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Mantic’s AI Ranks Eighth in Metaculus Spring Cup

2/12/2026

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Story summary
  • In 2026, Mantic's AI prediction engine placed eighth out of more than 500 entrants in the Metaculus Spring Cup.
  • This result marks a notable improvement, after AI entrants previously struggled in such tournaments.
  • Mantic's Chief Executive Officer Toby Shevlane said the success may stem from a mix of luck and advanced capabilities.
  • The engine uses various large language models to analyze vast data and outperforms human forecasters in accuracy.