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Full Breakdown

Severe Storms and Flash Flooding Threaten the Southern U.S.

2/13/2026, 3:14:35 AM

Overview of the Weather Situation

A significant weather system is poised to impact the Southern United States, bringing much-needed rainfall but also increasing the risk of flash flooding. From Friday through Sunday, an area of low pressure is expected to deliver widespread rain across several states, including Oklahoma, Arkansas, Missouri, Mississippi, Alabama, and Georgia. This comes at a time when many areas in the South are experiencing severe drought conditions, with some locations reporting their driest winter on record.

Rainfall Projections and Flood Risks

The FOX Forecast Center predicts that the storm will result in 1 to 3 inches of rain across the affected regions, with localized totals potentially reaching 2 to 3 inches in certain areas. As the system develops, flash flood risks have been categorized at varying levels: a Level 1 of 4 risk is currently in effect for parts of Oklahoma and Texas, escalating to a Level 2 of 4 risk in Arkansas from Saturday into Sunday morning. By Sunday, the threat is expected to shift towards the Southeast, maintaining a Level 1 risk.

Expected Severe Weather

In addition to rainfall, the storms are anticipated to bring damaging winds, particularly across Eastern Texas and Oklahoma, with major metropolitan areas such as Dallas, Houston, and San Antonio likely to experience the most severe conditions. The FOX Forecast Center has indicated that damaging winds will be the primary threat associated with these storms.

Criticism and Concerns

While the rainfall is welcomed in drought-stricken areas, concerns remain about the potential for flash flooding and the impact on local infrastructure. Critics argue that the sudden influx of water could overwhelm drainage systems that are not equipped to handle such volumes, especially in urban areas.

Official Statements

The National Weather Service has issued warnings for the affected regions, emphasizing the need for residents to remain vigilant and prepared for rapidly changing weather conditions. They advise monitoring local forecasts and being aware of flash flood warnings as the storm progresses.

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

There are discrepancies in the exact rainfall amounts expected in different areas, with some forecasts suggesting higher totals than others. Additionally, while the storm is expected to bring relief to drought conditions, the potential for flash flooding raises concerns about immediate safety and property damage.

What's Next

As the storm system moves through the Southern U.S., residents are advised to stay informed about weather updates and prepare for possible evacuations in flood-prone areas. The situation will continue to evolve, and further assessments will be made as the storm progresses into the weekend.

Verbatim Quotes

“The FOX Forecast Center said damaging winds look to be the biggest threat with any storm that develops.” — FOX Forecast Center

“A flash flood risk has developed across parts of Oklahoma and Texas on Friday, currently sitting at a Level 1 of 4 risk.” — FOX Forecast Center

“By Sunday, the threat is forecast to shift into the Southeast, with a Level 1 of 4 risk.” — FOX Forecast Center