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Cyclone Gezani's Impact on Southern Africa

2/13/2026, 7:47:46 AM

Cyclone Gezani Strengthens and Affects Mozambique

Cyclone Gezani has intensified as it enters the Mozambique Channel, with winds projected to reach 80 knots by Sunday. The cyclone has already resulted in at least 31 fatalities in Madagascar, where it has displaced over 31,000 individuals and caused significant damage, particularly in the port city of Toamasina, which experienced winds exceeding 185 km/h. The Zimbabwe Meteorological Service and the U.S. Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center anticipate further intensification, with forecasts indicating winds of 165 km/h within the next 36 hours.

In response to the cyclone's threat, Mozambique's National Meteorological Institute has issued warnings for the provinces of Inhambane, Sofala, and Gaza, predicting heavy rains, strong winds, and potential flooding. The government has cautioned that up to one million people could be affected by the cyclone's impact. The Central Emergency Response Fund (CERF) has allocated $3 million for anticipatory funding to assist Madagascar in managing the crisis.

Broader Context of Cyclones in the Region

Cyclone Gezani marks the second significant cyclone to impact the region within 11 days, following Cyclone Fytia. Since October, Mozambique has faced severe weather challenges, recording 202 deaths and affecting over 850,000 individuals due to floods and storms. The CERF's recent funding allocation highlights the ongoing humanitarian needs in the region as it grapples with the aftermath of multiple cyclones.

Official Statements & Responses

Mozambique's government has expressed concern over the potential scale of the disaster, emphasizing the need for preparedness and response measures. The National Directorate for Water Resources Management has been proactive in issuing alerts to communities in the affected provinces.

Criticism & Opposition

Despite the government's efforts, there are concerns regarding the adequacy of disaster preparedness and response mechanisms in place. Critics argue that the frequency of cyclones and the scale of their impact reveal systemic vulnerabilities in infrastructure and emergency management.

Conflicting Reports & Gaps

While the death toll from Cyclone Gezani stands at 31 in Madagascar, reports from different sources may vary regarding the total number of casualties and the extent of damage. Additionally, the exact number of individuals affected in Mozambique remains uncertain, with estimates suggesting up to one million could be impacted.

What's Next

As Cyclone Gezani continues to develop, authorities in Mozambique and Madagascar are expected to implement emergency measures to mitigate the cyclone's impact. The situation will be closely monitored, with updates anticipated as the cyclone progresses and further assessments of damage and needs are conducted.