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Poll: 46% of Americans Fear World War III by 2031

2/15/2026

39 9 Full Breakdown

Summary

Story summary

A Politico poll conducted February 6–9 finds 46% of Americans expect World War III by 2031, up from 38% in March 2025.
The study shows rising fears across five Western nations, led by the United Kingdom.
In Germany, 25% believe a new world war is imminent.
In the United States, tensions with Iran and Canada’s trade disputes fuel concern.
Many view Russia as a major threat due to its invasion of Ukraine.

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Story summary

A Politico poll conducted February 6–9 finds 46% of Americans expect World War III by 2031, up from 38% in March 2025.
The study shows rising fears across five Western nations, led by the United Kingdom.
In Germany, 25% believe a new world war is imminent.
In the United States, tensions with Iran and Canada’s trade disputes fuel concern.
Many view Russia as a major threat due to its invasion of Ukraine.