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Bond Traders Anticipate Fed Rate Cuts Amid Tame Inflation

2/16/2026

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Summary

Story summary

US bond traders are watching stock trends and data this week, including private payrolls and Federal Reserve minutes.
The 10-year yield is at 4.05%, the lowest in months, while the two-year yield stands at 3.42%.
A tame inflation report has led traders to expect at least two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.
John Madziyire of Vanguard notes that bonds are regaining hedging quality as risk assets fluctuate.

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Story summary

US bond traders are watching stock trends and data this week, including private payrolls and Federal Reserve minutes.
The 10-year yield is at 4.05%, the lowest in months, while the two-year yield stands at 3.42%.
A tame inflation report has led traders to expect at least two rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year.
John Madziyire of Vanguard notes that bonds are regaining hedging quality as risk assets fluctuate.